WebProNews

Tag: Trade

  • The Mall Is More or Less Dead, Says Legendary Retail Analyst Jan Kniffen

    The Mall Is More or Less Dead, Says Legendary Retail Analyst Jan Kniffen

    “The mall is more or less dead except in 279 great cases where we’ve got fabulous malls out there,” says legendary retail analyst Jan Kniffen. “But the 1,100 malls they’re struggling. It’s the levered retailers and the mall-based retailers that are struggling. We’re going to have 26 retail bankruptcies this year. But in a downturn, we could see 100 and we’re going to see 12,000 stores closed this year. It will be the highest number that’s ever closed in history. But we could see 50,000 close in a downturn. It’s because we don’t really need those retailers and we don’t need those stores because the business is moving online at a fierce pace.”

    Jan Kniffen, CEO of J Rogers Kniffen World Wide, says the mall is more or less dead as consumers move their shopping to online platforms at a fierce pace. Kniffen was interviewed on CNBC:

    The Mall Is More or Less Dead

    We’ve had really good retail reports. Think about it. Walmart was fabulous. Target was fabulous. Home Depot was good. Lowe’s was good. Just run down through the group that has already reported and, in general, if you weren’t mall-based full price you did great. Off-mall did great, online did great, and discount did great. The retail market and the consumer couldn’t be better. Levered mall-based retailers are dead. The mall is more or less dead except in 279 great cases where we’ve got fabulous malls out there. But the 1,100 malls they’re struggling. They’re running down comps. The mall is not the place to hang out anymore. Now you hang out in front of your computer and then you go with your friends to do something like go to restaurants and you don’t care about hanging in the mall. 

    But the people hanging in the mall were never the people that bought the stuff in them. All the people who bought the stuff in the mall were all the women in America who went to work for the first time in the 1980s and blasted them all to the ceiling. We pulled everything out of the mall except for women’s apparel for all practical purposes and that has now settled into this nice slow roll. People don’t dress for work anymore and the malls not any fun and there’s plenty of other alternatives. Just 20 years ago when the mall was really booming we didn’t have a strong T.J. Maxx and Ross stores and Burlington stores. The stuff across the street from the mall was very boring in those days. Those are really good retailers today. 

    Business Is Moving Online At a Fierce Pace

    The two best retailers in the world right now are Costco and Walmart. They are big, strong, have super supply chains, and can handle the tariffs no problem. They’ll gain market share under tariffs. They can even handle a downturn in the economy because they’re both super well-capitalized. Even people like Macy’s that have been struggling, they can handle a downturn in the economy because they’re not levered. They’ve got plenty of cash flow. They pay a 10 percent dividend and they buy back stock. 

    It’s the levered retailers and the mall-based retailers that are struggling. I keep saying we’re going to have 26 retail bankruptcies this year. We just got two more to talk about. But in a downturn, we could see a hundred and we’re going to see 12,000 stores closed this year. It will be the highest number that’s ever closed in history. But we could see 50,000 close in a downturn. It’s because we don’t really need those retailers and we don’t need those stores because the business is moving online at a fierce pace.

    We Know That Everybody’s Getting Out of China

    We know that everybody’s getting out of China. They were getting out of China before the tariffs started. Now they’re just getting out of China faster. Yeah, the shoe guys are still getting 60 percent of their stuff out of China but it used to be 90 percent. The apparel guys are still getting 15 percent of their stuff out of China but it used to be 50 percent. So that’s already happening.

    The tariffs have not been that big a deal. Tier four, the new tariffs that are about to kick in, if they kick in, would be a big deal for my world. But maybe they’re not going to kick in, which is the other thing that’s going on. We’re not really sure it’s going to happen but it’s still causing everybody to move faster out of China. So Trump has accomplished what he wanted to accomplish. He’s getting American business out of China.

    The Mall Is More or Less Dead, Says Legendary Retail Analyst Jan Kniffen
  • Bad Guys Can Implant Malicious Functionality From Anywhere, Says Huawei Security Chief

    Bad Guys Can Implant Malicious Functionality From Anywhere, Says Huawei Security Chief

    “Hopefully, we as a nation can have a clear-eyed focus on what really matters,” says Andy Purdy, the Chief Security Officer of Huawei Technologies USA. “As a senior Qualcomm executive said the other day, you can talk about Huawei but we’ve got to make sure our communication networks are safe. The bad guys can implant malicious functionality in hardware and software from anywhere in the world. The US has to recognize that Senator Blackburn said something that was very important. Potential national security threats to communications are very real.”

    Andy Purdy, Chief Security Officer of Huawei Technologies USA, discusses security concerns that the US has with Huawei and they really should be focused on communication security threats that can come from anywhere. Purdy was interviewed on CNBC:

    Bad Guys Can Implant Malicious Functionality From Anywhere

    Senator Marsha Blackburn is appropriately focusing on the national security implications of our communication networks. Hopefully, we as a nation can have a clear-eyed focus on what really matters. As a senior Qualcomm executive said the other day, you can talk about Huawei but we’ve got to make sure our communication networks are safe. The bad guys can implant malicious functionality in hardware and software from anywhere in the world. As Mr. Sorkin said yesterday, the Senators comments were the first person who’s ever said what she said. In fact, when you hear about the classified briefing that our customers were given, the classified briefings that the United Kingdom and Germany were given, the US government gave no allegations that Huawei has committed any such conduct that the Senator talked about.

    I certainly think when that when the Prime Minister of the UK and the Chancellor of Germany came out and said that they’d been briefed by the US and there were no allegations of significant cybersecurity wrongdoing against Huawei (and that this supports that there is no evidence of wrongdoing by Huawei). They said that they intended to use risk mitigation. This is the same kind of risk mitigation that the US government has that allows Ericsson and Nokia to do business in the United States despite their deep ties to China.

    Potential National Security Threats To Communications Are Very Real

    Absolutely, (Huawei does not implant or embed anything and its networks that would pose a national security risk to the United States). More importantly, the US has to recognize that Senator Blackburn said something that was very important. Potential national security threats to communications are very real. What she talked about was a report in a Bloomberg story not involving Huawei some months back that the bad guys can implant a small amount of code. That’s why we have to make sure that we have tested the products of all vendors to international standards so that there’s trust through verification. But right now tens of thousands of American jobs are at risk now that Huawei is in the crosshairs of these trade talks.

    There are companies in China that are government-owned. There are publicly traded companies in China that are majority government-owned. There are companies that are private. Huawei’s the largest privately owned company in China. We have about 80 or 90 thousand shareholders in China who vote to elect the governing board. Clearly, our founder Mr. Ren, who has less than two percent, he controls the company just as some of the founders and owners of other companies control with a minority interest. But we are completely privately owned. Again, we’ve got a look at the national security and the economic impact. Tens of thousands of jobs of those who supply Huawei, $11 million last year, and 40 to 50 thousand US jobs could go away if those companies can’t sell to Huawei. There’s no national security threat there.

    Our outside legal experts have said and that the Chinese government has confirmed that there is no such law that has that effect (of allowing Chinese government spying). The fact is the US government does not believe the law has any relevance whatsoever. The US government believes that China is not a rule of law nation so that the government will do whatever they want. That’s why there need to be programs like the risk mitigation programs overseen by the US government that allow Ericsson and Nokia to do business in the United States without limitation. We’re not talking about without limitation for Huawei. We’re talking about trying to continue to support our 40 rural tier-3 wireless and wireline customers serving rural America and the thousands of jobs there that are at risk.

    Nation-States Can Virtually Implant Hidden Functionality

    Absolutely, (the supply chain) should be a worry. That’s why when you look at the operations of Nokia, for example, in China, with the joint venture with Shanghai Bell, which is owned by the China government, the deep research and development manufacturing and assembly that takes place by Nokia, despite that they’re allowed to do business in the United States without limitation. This is because it’s a government monitored collection of agencies that monitor and test the products. At this point, the US government won’t even talk with us about those kinds of risk mitigation mechanisms that had been proven to be satisfactory to the US government despite those deep ties with China.

    What I’m saying is there are proven risk mitigation mechanisms, hardcore mechanisms, that are done. We do it in the UK, we do it in in Germany. In Brussels, we have a center where government and companies can come in and evaluate our products. Nokia and Ericsson products are evaluated very closely in the US. We’re just suggesting that our products and all other products need to be tested because there are five or six nation-states that can virtually implant hidden functionality in products. We as a nation can’t just be worried about Huawei, we’ve got to be worried about all the equipment. We believe those mechanisms are in place and we just want to talk with the government. We’d like to be able to show them that we can do that.

    Bad Guys Can Implan Malicious Functionality From Anywhere, Says Huawei Security Chief Andy Purdy
  • Kevin O’Leary on China Trade War: What Trump Is Doing Is Starting To Work

    Kevin O’Leary on China Trade War: What Trump Is Doing Is Starting To Work

    “Mr. Wonderful” Kevin O’Leary of SharkTank got some high praise for his comments in support of the Trump Administration’s trade actions in pursuit of a free trade agreement with China. President Trump tweeted. “Thank you Mr. Wonderful, I like you too!”

    Kevin O’Leary of SharkTank on Trump’s trade policy: It’s starting to work.

    O’Leary later commented on Trump’s tweet and elaborated on why Trump is working to level the playing field for America doing business in China: 

    I was talking about the policy this administration is putting forward. Bottom line is everything has been tried for 17 years while I have actually been doing business in China. Nothing has worked to level playing field. I like what this administration is doing by trying new ideas. Let’s try something else. That’s what I’m talking about. Because to me, it’s starting to work. Everything else has not worked. I’ll keep it very simple. I don’t have a level playing field in China. They get to use our markets in ways that we can’t use theirs. That’s not okay anymore.

    Kevin O’Leary of SharkTank: I Like What This Administration Is Doing With Trade


  • China Trying to Become an Economic Hegemon for the 21st Century

    China Trying to Become an Economic Hegemon for the 21st Century

    “This is deeper than trade,” says Steve Bannon, former White House Chief Strategist. “It’s a combination of One Belt One Road, which is this infrastructure project to unite the Eurasian landmass. It’s Made in China 2025, which is the convergence of advanced chip design, artificial intelligence, and robotics, where they will take over advanced manufacturing. Then it’s Huawei and the 5G rollout. The convergence of all three of those are trying to make China an economic hegemon for the 21st century.

    Steve Bannon, former White House Chief Strategist, discusses in an interview on CNBC the true objective of the Chinese in trying to economically dominate the world through whatever means necessary which is why current trade negotiations are so important to US prosperity going forward:

    China Trying to Become an Economic Hegemon

    I’m not so sure how close we are (in a trade deal with China). I mean CNBC’s interview with Larry Kudlow where Larry Kudlow said last week that Lighthizer had to read the riot act to some of the Chinese about some of the red lines that had come back on the turn on the documents. You’ve got the hawks in China that really hunkered down and said we don’t know if we need to deal with the Americans.

    Remember this is deeper than trade. It’s a combination of One Belt One Road, which is this infrastructure project to unite the Eurasian landmass. It’s Made in China 2025, which is the convergence of advanced chip design, artificial intelligence, and robotics, where they will take over advanced manufacturing. Then it’s Huawei and the 5G rollout. The convergence of all three of those are trying to make China an economic hegemon for the 21st century and essentially use their totalitarian mercantilist system to replace free-market capitalism of the industrial democracies.

    US Doesn’t Understand the Economic War the Chinese Are Running

    That’s why I was in Japan invited by the Liberal Democratic Party to go around Japan and give these lectures I give on China. It’s 100% they’re saying that the United States and Europe don’t quite understand yet the economic war that the Chinese are running on the West. This is not just about trade. It’s not about soybeans. That’s why Lighthizer, the senior partner of Skadden, Arps, who is President Trump’s right-hand man on this is so important.

    This is about fundamental structural changes to the core of the Chinese economy to really integrate it into the industrial democracies. I think that this thing could go on for a long time. I actually happen to think before you get to a deal I think you’re enough to put the punitive tariffs up to 25 percent to bring the Chinese really to the table to have that types of changes that President Trump has really been hammering on since the day he started.


  • US in Competition with China for 5G Domination, Says James Jones

    US in Competition with China for 5G Domination, Says James Jones

    The US is in competition with China for 5G domination says James Jones, former Obama National Security Advisor. Jones says that 5G is the most disruptive technology to come our way this century, but we are way behind China in 5G marketing. He says that the choice is clear for our friends and allies. “You can either go for the cheap, seductive, but extremely vulnerable system that will take all of your privacy, your intellectual properties, and your secrets back to Beijing, or you can invest a little bit more money and have a more secure society.

    He says that the choice is clear for our friends and allies. “You can either go for the cheap, seductive, but extremely vulnerable system that will take all of your privacy, your intellectual properties, and your secrets back to Beijing, or you can invest a little bit more money and have a more secure society.

    James Jones, former Obama National Security Advisor and founder of Jones Group International discusses how 5G is going to transform society and that the competition for 5G domination is with China in an interview on CNBC International:

    The US is in Competition with China for 5G Domination

    The 5G issue is the most disruptive technology that’s going to come our way probably in this century. 4G and 3G were evolutionary, 5G is transformative. Not just about military either. I’m talking about all aspects of our society, from banking to the medical field, and to the smart cities that we have ambitions for. You can’t have a smart city if you don’t have a secure network.

    The competition is China. Whoever wins this competition is going to be a very dominant player on the globe. China has a very seductive appealing message. We’re cheap. We’re reliable. We don’t put strings on our technology. What they don’t say is, we don’t share our technology. We don’t train you on our technology. We don’t give you the keys. We don’t give you the encryption. And we won’t partner with your domestic countries.

    You Cannot Have Both Chinese 5G and US 5G

    The US technology that we’re developing will do just the opposite of that. It will make us more secure. It will enable our individual citizens to have a private secure cellphone. It will enable our corporations to have protection of their intellectual properties. It will enable our governments to be more secure. In an organization like NATO, you cannot have a Chinese system and a US system interface.

    So the choices for our friends and allies are clear, you can either go for the cheap, seductive, but extremely vulnerable system that will take all of your privacy, your intellectual properties, and your secrets back to Beijing, or you can invest a little bit more money and have a more secure society.

    I think in the marketing of it we are behind. One of the reasons the Chinese system is cheap is because it’s subsidized. Our government is now waking up I think and we’re seeing more pronouncements from our leaders, which is very good. The private sector is doing quite well. I think our technological advance is very impressive. We’re working on systems that are impenetrable. In other words, it can’t be hacked and can’t be reverse engineered. Those are the two things that will assure our technical dominance in the future.


  • Rakuten CEO: Very Difficult to Use Chinese Venders for a While

    Rakuten CEO: Very Difficult to Use Chinese Venders for a While

    Rakuten CEO Mickey Mikitani says he’s happy he didn’t choose to use Huawei and ZTE. “I kind of sensed the potential risk even if it’s only one percent” said Mikitani. “I told myself actually I cannot take a one percent risk that something may happen to prohibit Chinese network equiptment to be used for the Japanese mobile network. So I decided not to use Huawei or ZTE because of the risk.”

    Mikitani added, “I don’t know what is going to happen to be very honest as far as the telecom industry is concerned, but it is very difficult to use Chinese vendors for a while.”

    Mickey Mikitani, founder, chairman, and CEO of Rakuten, Inc., talks about his fortunate decision not to use Chinese vendors in an interview with Bloomberg Technology:

    Decided Not to Use Huawei or ZTE Because of the Risks

    One thing I can tell you is when we were deciding what kind of network equipment we are going to use I talked with the Japanese government and asked about whether I should use Chinese network equipment or not. They said no problem, use it. But I kind of sensed the potential risk even if it’s only one percent. I told myself actually I cannot take a one percent risk that something may happen to prohibit Chinese network equipment to be used for the Japanese mobile network. So I decided not to use Huawei or ZTE because of the risk.

    Happy I Didn’t Choose Huawei and ZTE

    I don’t know what’s true or not but I’m very happy I didn’t choose them. If I had chosen them that would mean I would need to go back one year and I cannot rush my service. We chose Nokia, but basically we are building our own hardware. We just buy certain hardware from Nokia but maybe in the next generation we’re going to build our own. So it’s a totally different concept.

    We are an IT company integrating and building core network, radio station network, all the technology by ourselves. Versus other telcos which are asking system integrators to integrate everything. I don’t know what is going to happen to be very honest as far as the telecom industry is concerned, but it is very difficult to use Chinese vendors for a while.

  • SAP CEO: We’re Doubling Down in China

    SAP CEO: We’re Doubling Down in China

    SAP CEO Bill McDermott remains very optimistic about doing business in China. He says that SAP has a fundamental belief in China and continues to invest in China. “We’re not having challenges in China,” says McDermott. “We’re doubling down in China. China has been very kind to SAP and we have been very kind to China. It’s a win-win.”

    Bill McDermott, CEO of SAP, discussed their continued belief in China in an interview on CNBC International:

    We’re Doubling Down in China

    We have really a fundamental belief in China. China is the jewel in the crown for SAP. We actually defined it as a second home many years ago. We continue to invest in China and China continues to invest in SAP. It’s the fastest growing market we have in the world. As you know I spend quite a bit of time in China. When I was there last year we formed a very strategic partnership with several firms including the Alibaba Group, partnering with Jack Ma and Daniel Zhang and the Alicloud.

    When you think about the infrastructure as a service of Alicloud with SAP’s business software market leadership you have a business model that generates incredible growth for both companies, but also serves customers beautifully. We’re not having challenges in China. We’re doubling down in China. China has been very kind to SAP and we have been very kind to China. It’s a win-win.

    I Think a Trade Deal is on the Horizon

    I remain optimistic on that front. Optimism is probably the only free stimulus any of us can get our hands on these days. Look, it’s an uncertain world. If there’s not the US-China tariff and global uncertainty on trade, it’ll be Brexit. If it’s not Brexit, it’ll be something else. What we do is we manage a portfolio of businesses geographically and through our industry domain expertise. When you go to market in 193 countries you’re going to have dislocations.

    In an uncertain world, steady leadership always prevails. Our numbers said that in 2018 and they’ll say that again in 2019 and beyond. I do hope that it comes to terms in a positive way. I actually believe it will because business sense tends to prevail and you’ve got the number one and two economy in the world that both could benefit greatly from a deal. So I think a deal is on the horizon. I’m actually very optimistic.

    SAP CEO: We’re Doubling Down in China


  • Cisco CEO: Last Year We Blocked 7 Trillion Cybersecurity Threats

    Cisco CEO: Last Year We Blocked 7 Trillion Cybersecurity Threats

    The CEO of Cisco says that last year they blocked seven trillion cybersecurity threats or about 20 billion per day. He says that by and large cybersecurity organizations inside of their customers are very good. But they only have to be right once, so it’s a constant ongoing battle.

    Chuck Robbins, Cisco CEO, discusses cybersecurity, technology, and trade issues with China on Bloomberg:

    Last Year We Blocked 7 Trillion Cybersecurity Threats

    Last year we blocked seven trillion threats on behalf of our customers. That’s 20 billion a day. The problem is the adversary only has to be right once. We have to be right all the time. It’s the only part of our business where we have to think about an active adversary. That’s not how we think about other parts of our business.

    By and large, when you look at the cybersecurity organizations inside of our customers they’re very good. But again, they only have to be right once, so it’s just a constant ongoing battle.

    Solving Security Issues Deep Within Network Infrastructure

    Our growth is primarily driven by organic growth. We are in a unique position as a company that’s been around for 34 years. Our core franchises are actually growth engines for the company. Whereas a lot of companies of our age they would be looking at their core franchises as the profit pools that you would invest in other businesses.

    We have done some of that but we are seeing strong growth in the core franchises that we build. This is because in order to solve the security issues you have to do it deep within the network infrastructure. We are rebuilding and rearchitecting networks for customers all around the world in order to do this.

    Technology is at the Heart of What Every Entity is Doing

    The things that we do are the digital nervous system for the economy. Companies today realize that technology is actually defining their future strategies. Technology is not an optional cost center anymore. It really is at the heart of what every entity is doing around the world.

    Technology is at a different place today relative to the strategic value to our customers. It’s been strategic, but it literally is at the heart of everything they are trying to drive now.

    Technology That We’ve Build Has Created a Flat World

    What we do is create this flat world that we live in. Fundamentally the technology that we’ve built over the last 30 years has created a flat world. Now we find ourselves with lots of conflicts around the world. The geopolitical dynamics are clearly complicated for all of us. Countries are just trying to find out how to deal with this technology change that is occurring so rapidly.

    Frankly, it’s very difficult because governments around the world don’t have the expertise necessarily inside the government to even be able to regulate or determine what they should do. What that leads us to are very binary decisions. It’s difficult to understand how to do it surgically so I have to do it with brute force.

    5G Buildout is Critical to Every Countries Future

    Regarding the China trade issue, there are aspects of intellectual property. There are aspects of trade deficits. There are aspects of the view that this 5G buildout is critical to every countries future and there is this competitive race going on around the world. I this it is a bit of all of that.

    My hope is we can get to a place where we can all move forward in a way that lifts the global economy again and actually allows us to begin to take advantage of some of the technology. What it can do, not only for business but candidly we are at a point in time where technology can help solve some of the biggest problems in the world. That’s what we need to be focused on.  

    Educating Governments on How to Regulate Technology

    Our business in China is a relatively small percentage of our business still. The impact (from tariffs) has been quite minimal. What we do is just be a part of the discussion. We try to bring some logic as to what needs to be done.

    We are trying to help educate governments around the world as to how should they think about regulating this technology. How should they think about data privacy? What can we do to help alleviate some of the concerns and help them achieve what they are trying to achieve while not destroying the global benefit of connectivity?

    https://youtu.be/n-jE6kA7aqM


  • CEO of Shipping Giant Maersk: Imports to the US Are Strong

    CEO of Shipping Giant Maersk: Imports to the US Are Strong

    Despite the current trade climate imports to the US remain strong and are currently rising according to Soren Skou, CEO of A.P. Moller – Maersk, the world’s largest shipping company. Skou also discussed their use of technology to decrease fuel usage which is part of an overall initiative that the company has taken to digitize operations. 

    Imports to the US Are Strong

    Freight rates have gone up more than 5 percent so that’s a positive drive. We are also seeing good margin and appropriation in our other businesses, particularly in our logistics and ports business. Right now the global trade is growing at a reasonable pace and container freight rates are going up.

    Imports to the US are strong. We see our customers most likely building up inventories ahead of any tariff increases that may hit in the new year. Obviously, there will be a bill to be paid for that, so to speak, when that movement comes to an end with lower demand growth on the ocean in the first quarter of next year. We are prepared for that.

    The overall picture for the global trade is one of slow but reasonable growth but at the same time very moderate growth in capacity. It’s like a narrowing of the supply-demand balance and that leads to slightly higher freight rates, which of course is very positive for the industry.

    Effectively Using Technology to Reduce Fuel Use

    We work very diligently with our fuel consumption and fuel efficiency. We are slowly but surely able to reduce the amount of fuel that we use per container by deploying technology, by being better in the way we drive the ships and so on. Overall, as we have volume growth, we are also seeing a slow increase in the demand for fuel. We have plenty of fuel capacity available from the global refineries so it’s not like we are going to run out of fuel anytime soon.

    Earlier this year Skou talked about the importance of technology to Maersk:

    The most important thing for A.P. Moller – Maersk is to digitize. We do have an agenda to digitize transactions with our customers and the joint venture with IBM is a step in that direction. We are also digitizing the way we operate the ships, the cranes, and the containers. Also, we do hope that we will be able to create new businesses out of all of the data that we own. 

    Just two to three years down the line we would like to make global container shipping as easy to do for our customers as it is for all consumers today in ordering an airline ticket. We think there is plenty of opportunity for improvement of the customer experience in container shipping. Longer term, there are some problems and issues that we haven’t solved in our industry in terms of visibility, in terms of asset productivity. We believe that digitizing or connecting our assets will be able to help us some.

  • Former Microsoft COO Concerned About US Universities vs. China: ‘The Big Risk for Tech is Talent’

    Former Microsoft COO Concerned About US Universities vs. China: ‘The Big Risk for Tech is Talent’

    Former Microsoft COO Bob Herbold discussed in an interview (below) the fact that computer science and engineering schools are now competing strongly with US universities. He says that even though the US tech sector continues to be strong, the big risk is talent and China has significantly strengthened their universities:

    We (the US tech sector) continue to be strong, but the big risk is talent, frankly. What’s happening in China is that they are pouring a ton of money into these massive research centers. Secondly, they significantly strengthened their universities. So today, if you rank the top ten engineering schools in the world, such as U.S. News & World Report just did, you get five of them basically in Asia which is a real surprise compared to ten years ago.

    The schools are good, the government is pouring in a lot of money, and what’s happening in the US is we are actually telling these kids who are getting master’s degrees and PhDs in computer science and engineering, we say to them, look, we don’t necessarily want you around. That’s the signal that we are sending them. It’s absolutely the wrong signal.

    They have gotten caught up in this immigration flap, which is again an issue that keeps being kicked around. What’s happening is that in 2011, 45 percent of graduates from Asia would go back home. Today, that number is 80 percent. They’re going back home to good jobs and to environments that welcome them because they know that long-term their military and their industry is dependent on great technology.

  • Scott Kennedy of CSIS: China Amex Approval is #fakeopening

    Scott Kennedy of CSIS: China Amex Approval is #fakeopening

    Scott Kennedy, who is the Deputy Director, Freeman Chair in China Studies at Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), said on Twitter that Amex finally winning Chinese market approval is not a breakthrough for China market access. He labeled it as a #fakeopening. “NOT a breakthrough for China market access,” noted Kennedy. “Amex still at least year-plus away from operations. And why should it be required to operate in a joint venture? #fakeopening.”

    He was also asked, How many American jobs will it create? Zero? Kenney replied, “Far more than 0, but difficult to calculate for financial services firms. AMEX activity in CH which requires job support in US + Repatriated profits that AMEX invests directly, puts in banks which lend to others + Chinese users that increase consumption US products.”

    Kennedy then added, “Other cross-border commercial activity that emerges out their business. + Same when Visa, Mastercard follow. + Marginal improvement in efficiency of China’s own firms, permits smarter investments, greater consumption. Lesson: Liberalization benefits diffuse, but exist.

    American Express getting market approval in China is being widely reported in the media as a promising development in light of the current trade war. Philippe Roy, Director Global Client Group Europe for Amex, reflecting on the news said, “American Express just became the first US credit card company to get the green light to start building its own payments network in China.”

    Earlier this year Scott Kennedy spoke about US-China relations:

  • Trade Expert says Amazon Uses a Loophole to Import Almost Everything Duty-Free

    Trade Expert says Amazon Uses a Loophole to Import Almost Everything Duty-Free

    Amazon is using creative tactics that enable it to avoid import taxes on almost everything it sells by making every item sold a single sale that is under $800, according to trade expert and former Trump advisor Curtis Ellis.

    Curtis Ellis, a former Trump trade advisor, explains the details of this tactic below:

    Amazon Importing Almost Everything Duty-Free

    The U.S. government, U.S. Customs, imposes a tax on imports, a tariff or a duty. However, there is an exception. If you go to Scottland and buy a sweater that is less than $800 you can bring it back into the country duty-free. Just put it in your suitcase or have it shipped back and you don’t pay anything. Amazon uses this loophole to import virtually everything worth less than $800 duty-free.

    This Amazon Tactic is Helping China Avoid Tariffs

    They will buy 100,000 sweaters from Scottland, Ireland, or probably China and park them in a warehouse in Tijuana, Mexico. Then when people press purchase now to place their order they break up those 100,000 sweaters into one package, one package, one package and ship them into the country as if they were bought by one person on one day and Amazon had nothing to do with it. They bring it all in duty-free. China does not suffer the impact of tariffs on some imports to America thanks to Amazon.

    Outdated Law Subsidizing Chinese Shipping

    A couple of weeks ago President Trump announced that we are withdrawing from the International Postal Union. This is another example. We entered into this treaty ages ago and it subsidizes packages and shipping so that it is cheaper to send a package from Bejing to New York than it is to ship from Los Angeles to New York. We were giving China this break as if it’s a developing country like Haiti or something. It’s now like the second largest economy in the world and they’re still getting that same break.

    These rules, called The De Minimis Exception, were written before there was an Internet and has never been updated. It’s just another example of how Washington just sleepwalks through everything.

  • How Will Trump’s NAFTA Proposal Impact eCommerce?

    How Will Trump’s NAFTA Proposal Impact eCommerce?

    With the renegotiations of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) almost at hand, various groups within the three members of the trading block– Canada, Mexico, and the United States– are already busy lobbying their diverging positions on anticipated issues to be discussed. One potential flashpoint in the coming talks, which commences this August 16, 2017, is the Trump administration’s proposal to increase the cap on duty-free online purchases, a move that is viewed to have a tremendous impact not only on the eCommerce industry but the American economy as a whole.

    Currently, Mexico imposes a duty for online shoppers who buy more than $50 worth of goods, according to CNN. Canada, on the other hand, set the duty-free cap to a mere $16 worth of purchases. Canadians who make online purchases past that mark will have to pay a tax.

    But If President Trump gets his way, online shoppers could purchase a lot more before they have to pay any taxes for their purchases. Under his administration’s proposal, buyers in both countries will no longer be imposed import taxes for purchases up to $800, a move that is seen to benefit not only the buyers but also American online retailers that currently dominate the e-commerce scene. While both companies declined to comment on the issue, American retailer giants Amazon and eBay are seen to ultimately benefit should the proposal push through.

    Raising the duty-free threshold to $800 will not only be an economic triumph but a political one as well for the Trump administration. This is seen as a potential remedy to the U.S.’ massive $64 billion trade deficit with Mexico, a problem that Trump promised to resolve during his campaign. Economists believe that more foreign buyers making purchases through American online retailers could ultimately mean more jobs being created.

    However, not everyone agrees with the implication that the current NAFTA agreement should be blamed for the trade deficit when US companies relocated their manufacturing activities to Mexico. Congressional research done in 2015 concluded that the NAFTA agreement is not the cause for the decrease in manufacturing jobs available in the U.S.

    While Mexico and Canada have not yet revealed their formal responses, there are indications that the two trading partners will oppose the U.S.’ proposal for a $800 increase in the duty-free exemption, Reuters reported.

    For instance, Mexican Economy Minister Ildefonso Guajardo fears that the proposed $800 limit could open a “completely unnecessary door” for goods manufactured outside the three-nation trading block. For instance, cheap shirts manufactured by a non-NAFTA country like Vietnam could be sourced through an American online retailer and compete with Mexico’ vulnerable textile industry.

    Meanwhile, Canadian business groups offer the same sentiment. There are fears that raising the duty-free cap too high could ultimately be problematic for the nation’s manufacturers. For this reason, the Retail Council of Canada urged their government to fend off such proposal as it would most affect books, clothes, consumer electronics, sporting goods, and toys locally manufactured.

    Whatever the outcome could be, the upcoming NAFTA renegotiations would invariably affect the ever-increasing eCommerce segment. The talks would finally set a formal guideline for eCommerce within the 23-year old trading block. When NAFTA was created in pre-internet 1994, there were no provisions for e-commerce made.

    [Featured Image by Michael Vadon/Flickr]

  • State Backed China Newspaper Threatens iPhone Tariff if Trump Follows Through

    State Backed China Newspaper Threatens iPhone Tariff if Trump Follows Through

    The communist state backed China newspaper Global Times sent a warning shot to the Trump Administration threatening to take a “tit-for-tat approach” if tariffs are imposed on Chinese products.

    China will take a tit-for-tat approach then. A batch of Boeing orders will be replaced by Airbus. US auto and iPhone sales in China will suffer a setback, and US soybean and maize imports will be halted. China can also limit the number of Chinese students studying in the US.

    Trump as a shrewd businessman will not be so naïve. None of the previous presidents were bold enough to launch an all-out trade war against China. They all opted for a cautious line since it’s most consistent with the overall interests of the US, and it’s most acceptable to US society.

    Trump cannot change the pattern of interests between China and the US. The gigantic China-US trade is based on mutual benefits and a win-win situation. Even as president, Trump can exert limited influence on it.

    If Trump wrecks Sino-US trade, a number of US industries will be impaired. Finally the new president will be condemned for his recklessness, ignorance and incompetence and bear all the consequences. We are very suspicious the trade war scenario is a trap set up by some American media to trip up the new president.

  • How Companies Can Solve the China Puzzle

    How Companies Can Solve the China Puzzle

    Amy Karam, author of the book, The China Factor:Strategies to Compete, Grow and Win in the New Global Economy, recently was interviewed at Google’s Mountain View campus, providing insight for companies to better compete.

    “The main intention of “The China Factor” is to equip western-based companies with strategies and tactics and knowledge to better compete with emerging entrants like those from China,” says Karam. “China has risen, they’re doing a great job, there a strong force in our economy and they do business differently. The premises is that we as western-based companies need to change our game. We need to know that emerging competitors have different approaches and we need to be more creative about that.”

    “The other element is the innovation advantage and how do we protect or maintain and evolve our innovation advantage?” she asks. “How did China become so strong? What are the strengths and weaknesses of each side, the West and the East?”

    Working for Cisco in China Was Eye Opening

    Karam’s time at Cisco where she was involved in the Cisco sales strategy shaped her opinions of how Western companies can better compete. “The results were eye opening,” she said. “Wow, this isn’t business as usual. It’s not like our domestic competitors. It’s not a product superiority play anymore, where it’s like my box is better than your box so I’ll win the business. That’s not what was happening in emerging markets and especially with some emerging competitors.”

    “That was the catalyst for me to say, wow, this is not a trend, this is not a blip, this is here to stay.” She noted some big competitive differences with Chinese companies. “First is the severe price discounting and that’s no shocker right? Most of us know that that’s generally a pretty consistent market penetration strategy, but there was really no bottom to it. I encountered a lot of escalations where they say, hey my competitors just discounted me by another 25% and I need approval for another discount. We realized that wasn’t going to be a successful strategy for either competitor and even for the customer, it wasn’t a winning game.”

    “Another big thread was financing, which we didn’t really get into very much as a Western based company but that’s a a real helpful tool for emerging customers. This competitor would help them with financing and to an extreme degree. Sometimes they would help finance over a very long
    period of time and that was a real great value to these emerging markets customers.”

    “Another huge trend that came up was the use of politics to influence business decisions,” Karam said. “We’re like whoa, where did that come from what do we do about that? I would get escalated complaints from emerging markets that we’ve been working this deal for two years, we had in the bag and in the eleventh hour they would just say it was a an influence from above and we have no idea where it came from. It was government-to-government influencing for business decisions at a more granular level.”

    What Can Western companies Do at the Practical Level?

    “For those who are business geeks, you know there are the 4 P’s of marketing… product, price, place, promotion, so I created the 5th “P” which is politics,” said Karam. “I created the 5 P’s of Global Marketing framework. Because this has become such a a big world but it’s small at the same time, we need market access, we want to play and other peoples sandboxes, but there are certain rules and there are certain limitations that we need to encounter. When Google pulled out of China in 2010 for censorship reasons that was a big decision and the implications were huge. You could have affected 1.5 billion people in terms of access to knowledge, but there were really good reasons and those were the the boundaries within which a Western based company decided that they did not want to operate.”

    “Recent headlines say that Google is going back in,” says Karam. “So market access is really important and reach is really important, so the political element is knowing that co-oppetition is is the new element. It’s an integral part of a strategy going forward, it’s not us versus them. It’s how do we all play together within our own boundaries and desirables to get ultimately the success that we need. That’s it at a high level.”

    “Then how do we at the working level deal with politics?” she asks. “Politics even happens at the organizational level and generally there’s a pretty negative connotation to politics, but it’s really important, we can’t ignore it anymore, we we need to embrace it and apply it.

    “So how do we apply it from a sales perspective is to educate the sales teams on some of the tools available from the US government and the local governments in the different countries,” asks Karam. “How can they engage with their own government to help influence their own sales locally? Reaching out to the consulates, how do you get them involved, how do you know that some of these deal opportunities are happening early on in the game? There may be unfair trade issues that you’re experiencing so that maybe some intervention sooner rather than later so it’s not at the eleventh hour when we oftentimes hear about it.”

    “We’re also organizationally changed and we’re able to convince the senior vice president of government affairs to shift the focus from just a policy perspective to helping with sales objectives,” she says. “Using the influence that they have in the government affairs group for more of the end result in terms of numbers and not just policy has been very effective.”

    How Should Western Companies Evolve and Change?

    “Very simply, go global,” says Karam. “A lot of times Western based companies have been hesitant to go global. The second part is let’s move out of emerging markets being a novelty. I think a lot of Western based companies dabble in emerging markets thinking it’s really cool, it’s let’s try it out let’s throw a few people and in there and see how it works out, and then… oh no, not making the ROI that we need so we need to pull out. It needs to be a longer-term investment, it needs to be a commitment and you need to know that it’s it’s not just a temporary thing.”

    “Make sure that your product development is catering or customizing to local customer needs,” she says. “We can’t just recycle, saying this is a mature product in this market and let’s just throw it over the fence and see if they’re going to like our old product.

    How Can Western Companies Maintain Their Innovation Advantage?

    “Every company, East to West, really wants to be innovative because that’s where the next phase of growth comes from,” says Karam. “We see contingents of emerging folks coming to Silicon Valley wanting to learn the secret of how is Silicon Valley innovative, how do you do it how do you become creative? But the idea is that we have to also be creative – we have to be innovative at being innovative, so you can’t just the rest on your laurels. This whole concept of innovation is evolving and as more players from different backgrounds are becoming innovative they’re bringing different business models.”

    “Some business model innovations are coming from the East,” she says. “They’re really good and commercializing things and we’re really good at making things, really cool things, but they’re really good at making money yet from really cool things or even making money from ok cool things.”

    “We also talked about supply chain or process innovation,” said Karam. “There’s the reputation of manufacturing, they’ve got it down. One venture capitalist who I interviewed for the book says, you know all this business about bringing manufacturing back to America, we don’t have the efficiencies, we don’t have the ecosystems yet to do that, and some of the Eastern countries do. We need to either establish that ecosystem or just understand that there’s there’s a different source of innovation happening out there.”

    “What I’m saying s let’s get more creative, let’s figure out what’s our what’s our innovation 2.0,” she says. “How are we going to step up our game and learn from others as well?”

  • Rajon Rondo Mentioned in Trade Rumors… Again

    Rajon Rondo Mentioned in Trade Rumors… Again

    When Rajon Rondo entered the NBA in 2006, he did so via a trade. Drafted by the Phoenix Suns with the 21st pick in the 2006 NBA Draft, Rondo was then traded to the Boston Celtics, where he had played ever since. Despite leading his team to an NBA Championship in 2008 and taking them back to the title game in 2010, trade rumors have circulated around Rondo since the beginning. And, now that all of the “big names” have been signed in the 2014 off-season, Rondo’s name has started making the rounds once again.

    This time, the courting team is the Houston Rockets. Earlier today, it was announced that Miami Heat star Chris Bosh would not leave the Heat and would return, leaving the Rockets empty-handed once again. With Houston trading Jeremy Lin and Omer Asik and allowing Chandler Parsons to be bought by the Dallas Mavericks to clear salary cap space, the Rockets are left with a depleted roster and are desperately seeking options to put next to James Harden and Dwight Howard.

    While Kevin Love’s name has been tossed around by the Rockets quite a lot, the off-season moves they have already made make it nearly impossible for them to construct a deal worthy enough to draw interest from the Minnesota Timberwolves. Considering this, making a move for Rondo is potentially the best opportunity for Houston to land a big-name star before the deadline.

    The move also makes sense for the Boston Celtics. Danny Ainge and company drafted Marcus Smart in this year’s draft and also resigned Avery Bradley, leaving them with a young back-court which can be built around. With no real All-Star caliber players to support Rondo, the Celtics are not likely to see another post-season run in the near future. Which is why it makes sense to get the most they can for Rondo right now.

    Image via Twitter

  • Atlanta Braves Sign Pitcher Ervin Santana

    Atlanta Braves Sign Pitcher Ervin Santana

    Ah yes, Spring is just around the corner.

    While most of America is ready for Spring so we can finally enjoy some warmer temperatures that will actually stick around for a while, baseball fans are just happy to see their favorite players again at Spring training.

    Some of those players may be wearing a different uniform this season.

    Like ex-Kansas City Royal Ervin Santana.

    The right-handed-pitcher was signed by the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday for a $14.1 million, one-year contract.

    Santana, 33, started 32 games last season for the Royals and went 9-10 with a 3.24 ERA.

    The new member of the Braves bullpen had many offers since becoming a free agent, including the Baltimore Orioles, the Toronto Blue Jays, and the Minnesota Twins, but the offer from the Braves won out in the end. “It was a lot of waiting, but thank God I already have a team to play. Can’t wait to play. It was hard. I had a lot of patience, but my family and God are always right next to me, and that helped me,” said Santana.

    The Braves can use an extra hand in the bullpen. Brandon Beachy and Mike Minor are starting the season on the disabled list, while Kris Medlen may be out for the season.

    The decision to add to the pitching staff was necessary. Braves general manager Frank Wren said, ”In light of what has happened over the past few days with our pitching staff, we felt it was incumbent on us to do everything we could to strengthen our starting pitching.”

    The Braves also took to their official Twitter account to announce the news.

    Braves manager Fredi Gonzalez is also very happy with Santana becoming a part of the lineup. ”This guy makes our rotation a lot better than where we are at now.” Gonzalez also took some time out to praise Wren for his choice, “We lost Medlen and Beachy in a matter of 2 1/2 days and he went out there and got the best pitcher available for us.”

    Santana got happy with the hashtags on Twitter after it was announced he would be joining the Braves.

    He continued with the hashtag fun by getting Braves fans involved.

    Before being traded to the Royals in 2013, Santana played with the Los Angeles Angels for eight seasons.

    Many took to Twitter to congratulate Santana and welcome him to Atlanta.

    Image via Ervin Santana, Twitter.

  • Roberto Luongo Traded Back To Florida

    Roberto Luongo Traded Back To Florida

    Fans of Roberto Luongo are going to have to buy a different jersey soon, or at least bring out the one they had from years ago.

    The Vancouver Canucks traded Luongo to the Florida Panthers on Tuesday. Luongo previously played for the Panthers from 2000 – 2006 before he was traded to the Canucks, where he has been ever since. Until Tuesday that is.

    Goaltender Luongo, along with forward Steven Anthony were traded to the Panthers. In return the Panthers traded goaltender Jacob Markstrom and forward Shawn Matthias to the Canucks.

    Panthers general manager Dale Tallon said, ”We’re getting a great goaltender, a proven commodity. Jacob has got great upside but we needed to make a statement and Luongo’s numbers are terrific. He’s already been in this community and is a very popular figure in the South Florida area. And I just like what he brings to the table, giving us stability and his experience and a chance for us to win. You have to pay the price to get guys like this.”

    When the Luongo trade was made many wondered how Luongo would fit in with goalie Tim Thomas. On Tuesday Thomas said, ”I don’t know what their plans are. I don’t really know anything at this point. I’ve got to see the situation and see what they’re thinking.”

    It seemed to be an interesting combination since Thomas was the goalie when the Boston Bruins beat Luongo and the Canucks in 2011 in the Stanley Cup finals. And many on Twitter took notice of the possible “dream team.”

    But alas, Luongo and Thomas will not play together. The Panthers traded Thomas to the Dallas Stars on Wednesday.

    An account for “Happy Gilmore” poked fun at who the Canucks would get to replace Luongo. If Goldberg is available, this could be a difficult choice for the Canucks.

    Image via YouTube.

  • Lakers Rumors: Pau Gasol Ending Season With Lakers?

    Lakers Rumors: Pau Gasol Ending Season With Lakers?

    Many guys in the NBA enjoyed their All-Star break maybe spending time with family and friends, watching the Olympics, catching up on some reading, or watching Oscar nominated movies so they can get caught up before the awards show. Others spent this time wondering if they would be wearing the same jersey once the break was over.

    In less than 24 hours all possible NBA trades will be over and done with.

    The team that many people are paying attention to and talking about is the Los Angeles Lakers.

    The possible Lakers trades include Pau Gasol, Jordan Hill, Chris Kaman, and Steve Blake. The most talked about possible trade is that of Gasol.

    Rumors started circulating that the power forward/center might be leaving the Lakers after he made some disparaging comments about Coach Mike D’Antoni.

    Gasol addressed the trade rumors after practice on Tuesday,”It fills up a lot of pages and f—— airtime. It’s something that’s there and there’s potential that it might happen. Who knows? We might be saying that it’s been great to see you guys [in the media] and we’ll see you around. But hopefully that won’t be the case because it’s always hard and I think if it ever happened, it would be tough.”

    While Gasol is in his last year on his contract with the Lakers, many speculated that he could be traded to the Phoenix Suns, but that idea seems to be a thing of the past now.

    It looks like many people are ready to see Gasol leave the Lakers. (Wonder how bummed they’ll be if he doesn’t get traded?)

    There is one fan who doesn’t want to see Gasol go.

    A major get for the Lakers would be the Minnesota Timberwolves Kevin Love. The only issue with this possible trade is the Timberwolves aren’t getting enough from the Lakers to make such a trade.

    Other Lakers who could be wearing a different jersey after the trade deadline include Jordan Hall, Chris Kaman and Steve Blake. Hall is rumored to be receiving interest from the Brooklyn Nets, the Cleveland Cavaliers, the Phoenix Suns, and the Dallas Mavericks. Kaman could be heading to Cleveland. And Blake could be wearing the royal blue and gold of the Golden State Warriors.

    All the rumors will die down after 3:00 pm on Thursday, the trade deadline.

    Image via Pau Gasol, Twitter

  • Luol Deng Acquired by Cleveland Cavaliers in Trade

    Luol Deng Acquired by Cleveland Cavaliers in Trade

    Ever since LeBron James left the city of Cleveland, Cavaliers fans have been bitterly disappointed. The team tried to resurrect its franchise by drafting point guard Kyrie Irving but has failed to add the necessary pieces to create a playoff-caliber team. The Cavaliers hope to change that situation with their most recent acquisition, Luol Deng.

    Following failed negotiations from the Bulls to extend Deng’s contract, the Bulls decided to trade the small forward to the Cavaliers for Andrew Bynum and 3 draft picks (1 protected from the Sacramento Kings, and 2 acquired by the Cavaliers from the Portland Trail Blazers).

    In picking up Deng, Cavaliers’s GM Chris Grant has clearly indicated what his intentions for his team are – win now, not later. Deng has played for the Bulls for 9.5 seasons (his entire career), alongside the core of Derrick Rose, Carlos Boozer, and Joakim Noah. Despite playing next to more highly touted players throughout those years, Deng has been voted to 2 NBA All-Star teams (2012 and 2013) and has also been named to the NBA All-Defensive Second Team (2012).

    This season, Deng is averaging a career-high 19 points per game, along with 6.9 rebounds and 3.7 assists, while shooting 45% from the field.

    That being said, Deng is in his 10th NBA season. His already lengthy tenure in the NBA, along with the fact that Deng has played more minutes than anyone else in the league the past 2 seasons (38.7 minutes per game over the past 5 seasons), means that Deng is not the long-term solution to Cleveland’s woes. However, Deng does offer a great short-term solution to Cleveland’s pathetic production from the small forward position, with Earl Clark and Alonzo Gee combining for 9.8 ppg at that position thus far this year.

    While the Cavaliers made the trade to secure immediate, short-term success, the Bulls pulled the trigger as a matter of simple economics. As has been previously stated, Deng turned down a 3 year, $30 million contract extension with the Chicago Bulls, indicating that his wishes were to fully explore his free-agency at the end of this season.

    In order to get something instead of simply losing everything, Chicago thought it would make most sense to trade Deng. By moving Deng and waiving the recently acquired Bynum, Chicago cleared enough salary cap to get below the luxury-tax limit of $71 million. With Chicago unlikely to make the playoffs this year due to the injury of Derrick Rose, it made the most sense for them to clear salary room to acquire players which will help the Bulls move forward – something they have been struggling to do with their core players of Rose, Boozer, Noah, and Deng.

    Image via YouTube

  • Shin-Soo Choo Turns Down $140 Million From Yankees

    Off-season acquisitions have been the talk of Major League baseball since the Red Sox won the World Series, with the Yankees’s acquisition of Red Sox infielder Jacoby Ellsbury potentially being the most impressive and productive move so far. However, Shin-Soo Choo, outfielder and lead-off man for the Cincinnati Reds, apparently has a statement to make as the number one free-agent available in the MLB this off-season.

    Yesterday, Jeff Passan, of Yahoo! Sports, reported that Choo and his agent, Scott Boras, had turned down a 7 year, $140 million offer from the Yankees. After Boras respectfully declined the offer from the Yankees, he reportedly asked for more money – money of the $153 million, Jacoby Ellsbury variety. Showing restraint for perhaps the first time ever, the Yankees backed out of negotiations for Choo.

    So where does this leave Choo? The outfielder had a decent year last year with Cincinnati, hitting .285 with 21 home runs, 54 RBIs, 20 stolen bases, 112 walks, and a .423 on-base percentage (In ranks, Choo was first in on-base percentage in the NL, led all lead-off hitters in home runs, and finished 2nd behind Matt Carpenter in slugging percentage for lead-off hitters at .481.)

    While these numbers are impressive for a lead-off hitter, they are not 7 years, $140 million impressive – especially considering Choo is 31 years old. One American League executive commented on Choo’s age, stating, “For the next two or three years, he’s probably going to be an elite on-base guy. He’s a plus makeup guy. He’ll give you some power and probably play average defense on the corners. He’s a very good hitter, but he’s 31 next year. If you sign him to a seven-year deal, you know you’ll be looking at a significantly declining skill set over the last 3-4 years of the deal.”

    Keeping all of those factors in mind, which MLB teams would still be interested in Choo knowing the price? Most analysts seem to believe that the Houston Astros are in the lead to acquire the outfielder. However, issues concerning whether or not the Astros will be willing to give up the number one pick in next year’s draft present a potential roadblock to acquiring Choo. Other teams who have expressed interest in Choo include the Texas Rangers, Seattle Mariners, Detroit Tigers, Boston Red Sox, Baltimore Orioels, and Arizona Diamondbacks.

    Many may believe that with the Yankees out of the picture, Choo and Boras passed up their sole chance of receiving an outlandish offer. However, when one looks at the outfield free-agents available both this year and next (Colby Rasmus, Brett Gardner, Michael Cuddyer, Torii Hunter, Coco Crisp, Josh Willingham, Nick Markakis, and Norichika Aoki), one has to believe that at least one team will get desperate enough to sign Choo regardless of how much money it costs.

    Image via YouTube