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Tag: Piper Jaffray

  • Analyst Predicts 5G iPhone Will Lead to a 2020 ‘Supercycle’ For Apple

    Analyst Predicts 5G iPhone Will Lead to a 2020 ‘Supercycle’ For Apple

    With Apple expected to release four 5G iPhones in 2020, at least one analyst is expecting it to be a “supercycle” for the company’s stock.

    Wedbush analyst Dan Ives told CNBC he believes the demand for 5G iPhones will have a significant impact on the stock price. As a result, Ives raised his target for Apple’s stock to $350, a significant increase over the $284 closing price Monday.

    As CNBC points out, recent Piper Jaffray research shows an increasing level of interest in upgrading to a 5G iPhone, with nearly a quarter of iPhone owners willing to upgrade to a $1,200 model.

    With interest that high, it’s little wonder some reports predict Apple will sell 80 million units in 2020, with at least one source placing that number as high as 100 million. Similarly, Strategy Analytics predicts Apple will easily take the 5G crown in 2020, leap-frogging the competition to take the top spot.

    Even so, not all analysts share Ives’ bullish outlook. Gene Munster, Loup Ventures managing partner, told CNBC that the first year of 5G iPhones would be a “disappointment for investors,” blaming poor coverage on the part of the carriers.

    With such different viewpoints in play, 2020 is shaping up to be a fascinating year for Apple and their 5G plans.

  • Teens Have Lost Interest in Facebook Over the Past 6 Months

    Is Facebook losing its stranglehold over young social media users? According to some data from an bi-annual survey, the answer is yes. And it’s not that social media in general is losing its cool factor, it’s that other networks like Twitter and even Instagram (owned by Facebook, of course) are stealing Facebook’s mojo.

    The data comes from Piper Jaffray’s 25th bi-annual “Taking Stock with Teens” survey that looks at everything from online shopping and fashion, to tech, social, and gaming.

    The survey looked at which social networks are the “most important” for teens. It found that Facebook still holds the top spot – but barely. And it’s been declining over the past year.

    Facebook is the most important social network for 33% of the teens surveyed, which is down 9% from 42% back in the Fall of 2012 (the last time this survey was published).

    Twitter, on the other hand, saw an increase from 27% to 30% in teens claiming it as the most important social site in their lives. Instagram, which is owned by Facebook but has stayed independent, grew in popularity from 12% to 17%.

    Watch out Facebook, Twitter is nearly as important to teens as you.

    The only other significant change in social media loyalty among teens in the past few months is in the “other” category. Piper Jaffray notes that the top 5 “write-in” picks for most important social media service were Wanelo, Snapchat, 4chan, Kik, and Twitter’s just-launched six-second video app Vine.

    Another interesting find from Piper Jaffray’s survey: Teens still love their iPhones. Nearly half (48%) of those surveyed said that they already own an iPhone (up from 40% in the Fall) and 62% said that they plan on buying the iPhone as their next device. Compare that with Android, which had 23% of teens expressing future desire.

    [Image via toodlepip, Flickr]

  • iPhones Are Not Losing Popularity Among Teens

    If this is the look of waining popularity, I’m sure Apple is quite content to let it continue.

    Piper Jaffray’s 25th bi-annual teens and devices survey just came out. And in continuing what has been a trend over the last few surveys, Apple comes out on top. Although Android OS smartphones made some (very) small gains, the iPhone is far and away the most desired smartphone on the market among our nation’s bright future.

    According to the survey, 48% of teens already own an iPhone. That’s up from 40% in October (the last time this survey was published), which is in turn up from 34% in the spring of 2012. So, in a year, we’re looking at a 14% increase in the iPhone’s market share among teens.

    And 62% of teens said that their next device purchase will be an iPhone.

    On the Android side, 23% expressed future plans to buy a smartphone, which is up 1% from last October.

    Overall preference for the OS – 59% of teens say they’re likely to buy an iOS device (unchanged) compared to 21% likely to buy an Android OS device (up 1%).

    Proclamations of the iPhone’s decline in popularity among today’s youth have been coming for a couple of years now. Upon the launch of the iPhone 4S, you may remember HTC President Martin Fitcher said that the iPhone is a dad phone, and that kids don’t find them cool anymore. Then, a couple of months later, a Nokia product manager called iPhone’s “black mono boxes” and said that the youth are fed up with the ubiquitous Apple product.

    More recently, you may have read one of the many articles discussing the iPhone’s loss of cool with teens. “Teens are telling us Apple is done,” said one youth marketing director.

    Sure, the U.S. smartphone market still has room to grow. And that means that all types of devices have room to grow. And with the gains we’ve seen recently from manufacturers like Samsung, it’s possible that Apple loses some of its dominance over the next few survey periods. But for now, it’s clear that teens love their iPhones.

    [Image via heyheygig, Flickr]

  • Survey: Over 50% of Current Smartphone Shoppers Will Choose the iPhone 5

    Well, this bodes well for Apple. A recent survey suggests that the majority of people looking to buy a smartphone in the next three months (read Christmas and beyond) plan on buying the iPhone 5. Plenty of respondents gave plans to buy some sort of phone operating on the Android platform, but the iPhone 5 is the clear star of people’s most-desired lists.

    The survey comes from Piper Jaffray (via AppleInsider), who says that 53.3% of those surveyed said they plan on purchasing Apple’s most recent smartphone. That number was 47.7% right before the device was unveiled and 54.9% right after.

    The survey was conducted on December 12th and involved 800 participants.

    “We believe this is a positive that demonstrates the majority of U.S. consumers want an iPhone 5 even following the launch craze, and despite the Maps issues that have been widely noted,” noted Gene Munster.

    Of course, Apple Maps as a deterrent of buying the device may be a thing of the past. As you probably know, Google just launched Google Maps for iOS – their first maps app since Apple cut them out of iOS 6. The app is receiving rave reviews and is already the top free app in the App Store.

    Buying an Android-powered smartphone accounted for 35.3% of people’s plans for the next three months. 6.5% said that plan on buying a Windows Phone and 4.9% said BlackBerry.

    Piper Jaffray also concluded that demand for the iPhone 5 is somewhere between 30% and 40% more than demand for the iPhone 4S.

  • iPhones Are Still Cool with Teens, Man

    Despite attempts from other smartphone manufacturers to paint the iPhone as a boring product that’s more suited for your boring parents than cool, hip you – teens continue to want the Apple phone. How much, you ask? According to Piper Jaffray’s semi-annual survey on teens and their phones, 40% of them own iPhones.

    While 40% is an impressive figure, considering that iPhones only make up a few entries in an ecosystem full of smartphones – it becomes even more impressive when you look at that figure as a comparison to the last year. Back in the Spring of 2011, 17% of teens reported owning an iPhone (in the same survey). And the last time this survey was taken, in the Spring of 2012, 34% of teens owned an iPhone.

    That’s a market growth of 135% in just a year and a half.

    The Piper Jaffray survey (which included over 7,700 teens) also found that 62% of all respondents said they plan on purchasing an iPhone in the next six months. Only 22% said they plan on buying an Android phone.

    One common marketing strategy used by Apple competitors is to paint the iPhone as unhip, uncool, and the phones of teens’ parents. Look no further than an ad from Samsung that’s still running in a national market. You know the one, right? People are standing in line for the new iPhone 5 and someone is playing with a Galaxy S3.

    “Welcome back,” says another guy in line. “Guess that Galaxy S3 didn’t work out.”

    “No, I love the GS3,” he replies. “It’s extremely awesome. I’m just saving a spot in line for someone.”

    And bam – his parents show up. And that’s a common theme – that young people should not think iPhones are cool anymore. This has been a trend for over a year now. Take for instance last year, right before the launch of the iPhone 4S, HTC President Martin Fitcher dropped this gem:

    “I brought my daughter back to college — she’s down in Portland at Reed — and I talked to a few of the kids on her floor. And none of them has an iPhone because they told me: ‘My dad has an iPhone.’ There’s an interesting thing that’s going on in the market. The iPhone becomes a little less cool than it was. They were carrying HTCs. They were carrying Samsungs. They were even carrying some Chinese manufacture’s devices. If you look at a college campus, Mac Book Airs are cool. iPhones are not that cool anymore. We here are using iPhones, but our kids don’t find them that cool anymore.”

    And a couple of months later, a Nokia product manager said that “youth are pretty much fed up with iPhones. Everyone has the iPhone.” He also referred to iPhone as “black mono boxes” in a “sea of sameness.”

    If that were the case, we’d expect to see iPhone adoption among teens drop or at least flatline – not grow 135% in 18 months. And this survey doesn’t even take into account the iPhone 5, as it has been on the shelves for less than a month.

    “We are reaffirmed in our belief that Apple remains the pre-eminent technology brand for teens,” said Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster.

    The survey also looked at tablet adoption. 44% of teens surveys owned a tablet, and out of those 72% owned an iPad. Not only that, but 74% said they plan on buying an iPad in the next six months and 43% said they would buy a “smaller iPad” if the price point was to be below $300. Hello, iPad Mini.

    [Image courtesy Photo Giddy, Flickr]

  • Teens Still Love iPhones, Says Survey

    Teens Still Love iPhones, Says Survey

    In the next six months, a lot of things will change. The weather will shift, and fashions will follow accordingly. We’ll all be treated to (and hopefully have our film-lives changed by) highly-anticipated blockbusters like The Dark Knight Rises and The Avengers. By the end of that time period, the entire political landscape in the United States may have changed, as we will be nearing the end of a sure to be brutal Presidential campaign.

    But one thing won’t change. Teens will still be obsessed with iPhones.

    Around the same time last year, we told you that teens be iPhonein’. One year ago, a Piper Jaffray survey found that 17% of the teen market belonged to Apple’s device and at the time 37% of the teens surveyed said that they planned on buying an iPhone in the next few months.

    In the Fall of 2011, the same survey showed that 23% of teens owned an iPhone and 38% planned on getting one.

    Now, Piper Jaffray has released the Spring 2012 results of their semi-annual survey, and it should come as no surprise that teenagers still like Apple. In a survey of 5,600 students with an average age of 16.3, 34% now say that they own an iPhone. That’s double what was reported just one year ago.

    Furthermore, 40% say that they plan on buying an iPhone in the the next 6 months.

    In that 6-month time frame, we might just see the launch of the iPhone 5 (or new iPhone, or whatever). A string of recent reports paint the launch window with a broad brush, saying that somewhere in September to October is looking like the time. A recent rumor out of Foxconn gave an earlier date, however. Those sources pointed to June.

    The release of the iPhone 4S, with its lack of outward modifications, led some to ask if the iPhone was becoming uncool. If teens are driving the “what’s cool” trends (and that’s highly debatable, mind you), then it’s hard to say that the iPhone is losing any of its cool factor.

  • iPhone 5: Apple’s Weapon Against Android?

    iPhone 5: Apple’s Weapon Against Android?

    It looks like we have reached the “rumor-a-day” phase of the iPhone 5 mania. With the latest rumors hinting at either a September or early October release date, we might be only a month or two away from Apple’s next-gen smartphone.

    According to Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster, a lot of people are ready to shell out the dough for the new iPhone when it drops – not just current Apple customers.

    He made some projections based on a survey of 216 mobile phone users and decided that the huge demand for the iPhone 5 could translate to Apple doubling their market share – a market that is currently controlled by Android OS mobile devices.

    Here’s what the makeup of the survey group looks like – 29% currently own iPhones (3G, 3Gs or 4 not specified), 17% currently own Android phones and 28% currently own a BlackBerry. The rest own other types of phones.

    Of everyone in the survey, 64% said that they plan on buying an iPhone 5. 60% said that they are simply waiting for the iPhone 5 to come out, and that they will buy it then even if their current phone is still working and their contract is still valid. If only 29% of respondents currently own an iPhone, this means that a giant percentage of non-iPhone users want to make the switch.

    In fact, 42% of Android OS users said they will probably switch to iOS when the iPhone 5 drops. In contrast, only 6% of iOS users said they would be switching to Android when they purchase their next phone.

    94% of iPhone users plan on buying another iPhone. That’s some customer satisfaction.

    The iPhone 5 might also help Verizon specifically – of the 55% of non-iPhone users that expect to buy an iPhone, 74% said that they were waiting on the iPhone 5.

    Will the iPhone 5 bring Apple closer to market supremacy?

    The latest buzz about the device in question is that it will have a slightly larger display than the 4 and a thinner bezel. Some reports point to an October 1st release date, a little later than the previously discussed mid-September release date.

    For a more in-depth roundup of today’s iPhone 5 buzz, check out this rumors article.

  • Piper Jaffray Forecasts 50% Market Share For Android

    Piper Jaffray, an investment banking firm that earned $7.4 million in net income last quarter, is betting on Android in a big way.  Today, Piper Jaffray predicted that Android’s market share will pass the 50 percent mark in the next five years.

    Don’t look for the rise to the halfway mark to happen all at once.  The report explained, "We estimate Google will control 14.9% of the smartphone market through Android in 2010, growing to 23.2% in 2012."

    Meanwhile, Apple’s market share is also supposed to increase, hitting 17.6 percent in 2012.

    Google AndroidHere’s the key thing, though: according to Larry Dignan, Piper Jaffray stated, "Ultimately, we believe Android is likely to control over half of the smartphone market in the next five years. . . .  and we believe ultimately Apple’s smartphone market share tops out between 20-30% . . ."

    That’s a strong endorsement of what Google’s doing in the mobile space.  It could be a sign that Apple’s in trouble, too, since the company’s surely tried to convince analysts of a brighter outlook.

    Apple beat Google in one sense today, anyway, since its stock dropped just 0.37 percent while Google’s fell 1.25 percent.