This match seems like a no-brainer, Germany has not trailed in a competitive match in two years, and it is unlikely Greece will be the first to do it. They will attempt to keep their defense back and attempt to stifle the German onsught for as long as they can, countering when an opportunity presents itself. To win they will likely have to deny the Germans a single goal and hope that a counter for them is successful, making the first goal in this match extremely crucial for their side. Expect Germany to do what Germany does best and punish the Grecians with physical strength in an onslaught of arial assaults.

Kick-Off 2:45 PM EST

Could this headline be more German? – “Be happy dear Greeks, the defeat on Friday is a gift. Against Jogi Loew, no rescue fund will help you.” Headline from German newspaper Bild.

Greece captain Giorgios Karagounis is serving a one game suspension for picking up his second yellow card against Russia. He will most likely be replaced by AEK Athens Midfielder Grigoris Makos or PAOK’s Giorgos Fotakis. German Midfielder Lars Bender could be back against Greece after missing the game against Denmark because of a similar suspension. However Lars Bender could keep his position after scoring during his single game tenure.

SB Nation:

Lines: Germany, -1.5 (-105). Greece, +1.5 (-115).

Odds: Germany, -375. Greece, +950. Draw, +450.

Over/Under: Over 2.5, -110. Under 2.5, -110.

MATCH FACTS

from BBC Sport

Head-to-head
-Germany (including West Germany) are unbeaten in eight previous games against Greece, winning five. The only previous meeting at a European Championship was a group match that finished 0-0 in 1980. That result took the Germans through to the final, where they beat Belgium.

-The most recent games came in qualifying for the 2002 World Cup. Germany won 2-0 in Hamburg in Sep 2000 and 4-2 in Athens in March 2001; Miroslav Klose is the only survivor from the last meeting – he scored in that match.

Germany
-The Germans have taken the lead in all three matches at Euro 2012, plus each of their 10 qualifiers, going on to win all of those games. They have not fallen behind in a competitive game since the third-place play-off against Uruguay at the 2010 World Cup (when they won 3-2 after trailing 2-1).

-Joachim Loew’s side have won their last 14 competitive games (includes third-place play-off against Uruguay).

-The average age of the starting XI against Denmark was 25 years and 107 days – Germany’s youngest ever line-up at a European Championship.

-Germany (including West Germany) have never lost a European Championship quarter-final. They beat Portugal 3-2 at Euro 2008 and Croatia 2-1 at Euro 96. They also defeated England (1972) and Spain (1976) back in the days when quarter-finals were played over two legs prior to the finals.

Greece
-The Greeks have scored just one goal in each of their past eight matches.

-In their three previous European Championships tournaments to date, Greece have either finished bottom of their group or won the competition outright (as they did in 2004). Therefore they have won all three of their previous knock-out games at the tournament.

-Greece have never contested a penalty shoot-out at a tournament. They have missed their last three penalties – Giorgios Karagounis failed to convert a spot-kick against Poland in their opening game, and Giorgos Samaras and Kostas Katsouranis did likewise against Armenia on 31 May.

-Against Russia, Greece equalled the tournament record for most shots blocked (12), matching England’s tally against Portugal in 2004 and against France in 2012.